Russian President Vladimir Putin still plans to capture almost the whole of Ukraine, said Avril Hines, a senior US intelligence official. However, after more than four months of war, Russian troops are so exhausted that the Kremlin will only make “small regional gains” in the short term.
U.S. intelligence has determined that the war will continue “for a long time.” “It was a tough and sad opportunity,” Haynes said. “Putin’s will not agree with what the military can do.”
At the last G7 summit, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky called for an end to the war by the end of the year. Earlier, Ukrainian negotiators said they wanted to resume peace talks by the end of August.
Military experts told the NU.nl that during those talks a decision would probably be made about the possible continuation of the war. They even look for ways to end the war.
The distribution of weapons from the West does not make a difference
Heinz’s statements indicate that the supply of arms to the West is not sufficient to determine a war in Ukraine’s favor. For example, US intelligence services take into account the second, most unlikely scenario. In this, the Russian offensive was a huge success in a short period of time.
The third scene was based on the Ukrainian conquests, i.e. a stalemate was felt in the eastern front line in Kharkiv and southern Kersan.
The Kremlin corrected military targets during the war in Ukraine. For example, Putin said at the beginning of the invasion that he wanted to “militarize” and “reduce” Ukraine. By the end of March, he considered the first phase of the invasion to be over, but it was unclear what military purpose Putin had achieved. Since then, the Russian military has focused on capturing eastern Ukraine.
The Americans suspect that it will definitely take “many years” for Russia to bring the military back to fighting power. “At that time, the Kremlin’s cyber-attacks, energy exports and status as a nuclear power would depend,” Hines concluded.
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