May 2, 2024

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“Closed shop effect”: migration to Europe will increase in 2024 |  News

“Closed shop effect”: migration to Europe will increase in 2024 | News

According to the International Center for Migration Policy Development (ICMPD), migration to Europe will increase in 2024. The international organization expects that refugees will try to reach Europe before the new, stricter immigration laws actually take effect.

The International Center for Migration Policy Development (ICMPD) predicts that many people wanting to come to Europe will rush to arrive before the regime changes. Michael Spindelegger, director general of the International Center for Migration Policy Development, calls this the “closed shop effect”: “People will hear all these immigration measures, and they will think they have to be in the EU before they come into force.” According to the report, the new immigration laws initially represent an attraction rather than a deterrent for many trying to come to Europe.



The Middle East War and Donald Trump

Not only the new migration agreement, but also the war in the Middle East and the possibility of Donald Trump returning to power in the United States will lead to “huge migration flows,” according to the annual report of the International Center for Migration Policy Development. If America takes a tougher stance on immigration, it could lead to an increase in the number of Venezuelans and Colombians using visa-free visitor routes to Spain.

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The system should be operational within two years

Texts of new immigration laws are currently being prepared. Once completed, it must be approved by the European Parliament. This is more of a formality. Secretary of State for Asylum and Immigration Nicole De Moor (CD&V) expects this to succeed before the election in June. The new system is expected to go into effect within two years.

Spindelegger urges politicians to find legal ways and work with private companies to establish employment and training centers in the African and Central Asian countries from which many migrants to Europe come.