The Russian military is unlikely to make any significant territorial gains in Ukraine this year. Avril Haines, the US Director of National Intelligence, said Wednesday at a Senate hearing in Washington.
Haines said Russia was dealing with “significant losses” and that Russian President Vladimir Putin “may have a better understanding of the limits of his military’s capability.” According to her, the Russian president is “focusing on more modest military goals.”
“We don’t think the Russian military will recover sufficiently this year to make significant gains on the ground, but Putin probably estimates that time is on his side,” she added.
According to her, Putin believes that prolonging the war is “the best option for protecting Russia’s strategic interests in Ukraine, even if it takes years.”
Indeed, according to the head of national intelligence, Russia will find it difficult to maintain the current pace of attacks “if mandatory mobilization or large-scale third-party resupply access is not announced.” Then it would not be impossible for Russia to focus only on defending the areas it already controls.
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