June 12, 2024

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Why next Thursday and Friday are essential for Bitcoin

Why next Thursday and Friday are essential for Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC) rose to $72,000 this week thanks to the approval of Ethereum (ETH) ETFs in the US.

However, the price then fell sharply due to strong economic data from the United States. This strong data quickly reduced confidence in rapid interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, the US central bank.

Some important data points are scheduled to be announced next week, which could determine the trajectory of Bitcoin’s price in the coming weeks.

THORChain (RUNE) is on the verge of a breakout after the recent price decline

THORChain (RUNE) is on the verge of a breakout after the recent price decline

Important dates for Bitcoin next week

Starting Thursday, we will receive a new estimate of US economic growth for the second quarter of 2024. If that growth disappoints, it will provide a significant boost to the price of Bitcoin and the rest of the financial markets.

Why? If economic growth is lower than expected, this will ease pressure on inflation and the Fed may have to step in with faster interest rate cuts to support the economy.

Source: Forexfactory.com

The weekly number of unemployment claims will also be shown on Thursday, which provides insight into the development of the US labor market. The higher this number, the worse the news is for the economy, but this could be good for the price of Bitcoin.

This is especially good for Bitcoin if the number of claims is much higher than expectations, as this increases the likelihood that the Federal Reserve will adopt a more accommodating policy, which could be positive for Bitcoin’s value.

Focus is on Friday with the PCE price index

However, the real focus for next week will be Friday. We are then presented with the US central bank’s preferred measure of inflation: the personal consumption expenditures price index.

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After the “positive” CPI report last week, it would be nice to see lower inflation numbers next Friday.

Key macroeconomic data for Friday. Source: Forexfactory.com

In theory, this could cause the price of Bitcoin to rise again. However, based on last week’s data, the chance of this happening looks slim, but in theory, this gives room for increases if (with any luck) we see lower inflation data.

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